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Block H · Metrics, valuation & risk

‹ Financial markets handbook: overview

Independent working reference. Product and feature names mentioned are trademarks of their respective owners. No investment advice.

Metrics are condensations; useful for comparison, dangerous without context; each metric answers exactly one question and no other.

95 · P/E ratio

Definition: Price per share / earnings per share; based on past (trailing) or expected earnings (forward).

Use: The fastest valuation comparison within an industry.

Interpretation: Meaningful only against peers and history; growth and rate levels co-determine the "fair" P/E.

Typical mistake: Comparing P/E ratios across industries; considering cyclicals cheap at peak earnings.

See also: 96 · P/B ratio · 104 · Earnings growth (EPS growth, PEG) · 35 · Value vs. growth

96 · P/B ratio

Definition: Price / book value of equity.

Use: Banks, insurers, capital-intensive firms; a substance measure.

Interpretation: <1 signals market doubt about the substance or earning power; of little value for tech (intangibles).

Typical mistake: Applying P/B to asset-light business models.

97 · P/S ratio

Definition: Market capitalization / revenue.

Use: Young/loss-making firms without earnings; crisis comparisons.

Interpretation: Meaningful only together with the margin path; revenue is not profit.

Typical mistake: Dismissing high P/S ratios with "growth justifies everything".

98 · EV/EBITDA

Definition: Enterprise value (market cap + net debt) / operating income before depreciation and amortization.

Use: Capital-structure-neutral comparison; the M&A standard measure.

Interpretation: More robust than P/E with differing leverage; EBITDA ignores investment needs.

Typical mistake: Confusing EBITDA with cashflow; capex is missing.

99 · Dividend yield & payout ratio

Definition: Dividend/price and dividend/earnings respectively.

Use: Income planning; sustainability check of the payout.

Interpretation: A ratio >80-100% is rarely sustainable; always read the yield together with the ratio.

Typical mistake: See Block C; reading record yields as a gift.

See also: 36 · Dividend strategies

100 · Free cashflow & FCF yield

Definition: Operating cashflow minus capital expenditure; FCF/market cap as a yield.

Use: The "most honest" earnings metric; cash rarely lies.

Interpretation: Persistently positive FCF funds dividends, buybacks, debt reduction; negative FCF needs the capital market.

Typical mistake: Believing earnings without looking at cash conversion.

101 · ROE/ROIC

Definition: Earnings / equity, and after-tax operating income / invested capital respectively.

Use: A quality measure; does the company earn its cost of capital?

Interpretation: ROIC > WACC creates value; ROE can be levered by debt (distorted).

Typical mistake: Celebrating a high ROE that stems only from leverage.

102 · Leverage (net debt/EBITDA)

Definition: Net debt / operating income; years to theoretical deleveraging.

Use: The standard credit measure; a covenant metric.

Interpretation: <1 comfortable, >3-4 strained (industry-dependent); IG ratings typically demand low values.

Typical mistake: Overlooking leasing/pension liabilities.

103 · Interest coverage

Definition: Operating income / interest expense.

Use: A short-term check of debt-servicing capacity.

Interpretation: <2 critical; rate-sensitive with heavy floater exposure.

Typical mistake: Extrapolating coverage measured in a low-rate era.

104 · Earnings growth (EPS growth, PEG)

Definition: Growth rate of earnings per share; PEG = P/E / growth.

Use: Comparing the growth-to-valuation relation.

Interpretation: PEG ~1 as a rough rule of thumb; check the quality of the growth (organic vs. buyback).

Typical mistake: Extrapolating analyst estimates unexamined.

105 · Yield to maturity (YTM) / yield to worst

Definition: Internal rate of return of a bond to maturity (YTM) or to the least favorable call date (YTW).

Use: THE comparison measure for bonds.

Interpretation: Assumes reinvestment of coupons at the same rate; for callable paper only YTW counts.

Typical mistake: Quoting YTM for callables (see Block B).

See also: 106 · Coupon vs. yield (the difference) · 107 · Duration & modified duration · 19 · Subordinated bonds (Tier 2)

106 · Coupon vs. yield (the difference)

Definition: Coupon = contractual interest payment on the nominal; yield = total return including the price difference to the purchase price.

Use: Fundamental understanding for any bond decision.

Interpretation: Price above 100: yield below coupon, and vice versa.

Typical mistake: Confusing a high coupon with a high yield (purchase price!).

See also: 105 · Yield to maturity (YTM) / yield · 23 · Floaters (floating rate)

107 · Duration & modified duration

Definition: Capital-weighted commitment period, and the rate sensitivity derived from it (see the introduction to ch. 5-B).

Use: The central interest rate risk measure for securities and the portfolio.

Interpretation: Portfolio duration = weighted average; actively steerable via futures/swaps.

Typical mistake: Treating duration as exact instead of a first-order approximation (large rate moves: convexity needed).

See also: 108 · Convexity · 146 · Duration management & bond laddering · 27 · Long-dated bonds (>10 years)

108 · Convexity

Definition: Curvature of the price-yield relationship; the second-order correction to duration.

Use: Precision for large rate moves; comparing structures (callables: negative convexity).

Interpretation: Positive convexity = the price rises more than it falls; valuable and included in the price.

Typical mistake: Ignoring the negative convexity of MBS/callables.

See also: 107 · Duration & modified duration · 29 · MBS/ABS (securitizations)

109 · Spread (G-spread, Z-spread, OAS)

Definition: Yield pickup over the reference; over the government curve (G), over the swap curve in present value terms (Z), option-adjusted (OAS).

Use: The price of credit risk; relative value between bonds.

Interpretation: A spread change acts on the price like a rate change times spread duration.

Typical mistake: Mixing spreads over different reference curves.

See also: 15 · Corporate bonds investment grade · 16 · High yield · 118 · S&P Global Ratings (AAA-D scale)

110 · Volatility (historical/implied)

Definition: Fluctuation intensity of returns; implied = the expectation derived from option prices.

Use: Risk measure, option valuation, market sentiment (VIX).

Interpretation: Annualized; implied > historical vol = the market pays a fear premium.

Typical mistake: Equating volatility with loss risk; it measures both directions.

See also: 112 · Sharpe ratio · 116 · Value at Risk (VaR) · 160 · Tail risk, skewness & kurtosis

111 · Beta & alpha

Definition: Beta = sensitivity to the market; alpha = return beyond the beta-consistent return.

Use: Risk classification (beta) and manager performance (alpha).

Interpretation: Beta 1.2 = 20% stronger market moves; alpha measurable only against a suitable benchmark.

Typical mistake: Reporting alpha that is merely beta to another factor.

See also: 114 · Information ratio & tracking error · 137 · Indices & benchmarks (construction)

112 · Sharpe ratio

Definition: (Return - risk-free rate) / volatility.

Use: Risk-adjusted comparison of strategies/funds.

Interpretation: >1 good, >2 rarely sustained; comparable only among similar strategies.

Typical mistake: Taking Sharpe at face value with skewed distributions (option selling!).

See also: 113 · Sortino ratio · 114 · Information ratio & tracking error · 110 · Volatility (historical/implied)

113 · Sortino ratio

Definition: Like Sharpe, but only downside volatility in the denominator.

Use: A fairer view of asymmetric strategies.

Interpretation: Clearly > Sharpe = the fluctuation comes mainly from the upside.

Typical mistake: Ignoring the downside threshold (0% vs. target return); values are otherwise not comparable.

114 · Information ratio & tracking error

Definition: Active return / active risk (standard deviation of the deviation from the benchmark = tracking error).

Use: Quality of active managers; mandate steering (TE limits).

Interpretation: An IR > 0.5 over years is strong; TE shows how "actively" the fund is really managed.

Typical mistake: Paying for a low TE as if it were active management ("closet indexing").

See also: 111 · Beta & alpha · 137 · Indices & benchmarks (construction)

115 · Maximum drawdown

Definition: Largest loss in value from a high to the following low.

Use: Loss tolerance check; a more realistic way to address risk than volatility.

Interpretation: Consider together with the recovery period.

Typical mistake: Viewing the historical max drawdown as an upper bound for the future.

See also: 162 · Drawdown management & stop-loss logic · 110 · Volatility (historical/implied)

116 · Value at Risk (VaR)

Definition: The loss that with x% probability is not exceeded in period t (e.g. 99%/10 days).

Use: The standard risk measure in regulation and limit systems.

Interpretation: Says NOTHING about the size of losses beyond the threshold (for that: expected shortfall).

Typical mistake: Communicating VaR as the "maximum loss".

See also: 158 · Stress tests & scenario analyses · 160 · Tail risk, skewness & kurtosis · 151 · Risk types at a glance

117 · Correlation & diversification effect

Definition: Co-movement of two return series (-1 to +1); the basis of the diversification benefit.

Use: Portfolio construction; detecting concentrations.

Interpretation: Correlations are unstable and rise in a crash ("correlation goes to 1").

Typical mistake: Planning for the storm with fair-weather correlations.

See also: 142 · Diversification & concentration risks · 161 · Risk budgeting & risk parity

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